| Democratic Candidate | NC | IN | IN | OR |
| Pollster | Zogby | Zogby | IADV | SUSA |
| Date | 5/1-2 | 5/2 | 5/1 | 4/28-30 |
| Barack Obama | 46% | 43% | 40% | 50% |
| Hillary Clinton | 37% | 42% | 47% | 44% |
| Other(vol.) | 17% | 15% | 13% | 6% |
| Details | Link | Link | Link | Link |
The media was very keen on using Zogby’s Pennsylvania poll in their media coverage when they showed Clinton surging at the end but now that things are in reverse and they have Obama doing well in NC and IN, they choose to downplay it. They find a story i.e. about Reverend Wright and how he’s hurting Obama, roll with that, and find data to support their arguments. Even Zogby reported in their press release that Reverend Wright is having an impact on the race.
I could, just as easily, claim that the Reverend Wright is having a minimal impact on the race by citing polls that show Obama doing well, couldn’t I? I could have also showed Obama gaining steam in Pennsylvania by citing the Public Policy Polling poll that had Obama ahead. So be weary of which poll your choice of media outlet chooses to brainwash you with :-). At least on this website, we do not censor ourselves. You pick out what you want and look at the data yourselves. Happy weekend.
According to the Democratic North Carolina poll by Zogby Poll:
Clinton expanded her lead among white voters in North Carolina, and narrowed the gap among African American voters, where Obama leads by a 73% to 10% margin. Among men, Obama leads 50% to 35% – an improvement for Clinton – and he continues to lead among women voters as well – winning 43% support to Clinton’s 39% backing, largely on the strength of support for Obama from African American women.
According to the Democratic Indiana poll by Zogby Poll:
Clinton holds an edge among Catholic and Protestant voters, and among older voters, as she has in other states that have voted earlier this year. Obama leads among younger voters and among a key middle-age demographic – those age 35 to 54. This was a group that went for Clinton in the recent Pennsylvania primary, helping to propel her to the 10-point win she enjoyed there.
Obama continues to lead in northern Indiana, a large section of which is influenced by Obama’s hometown Chicago media market, and in Indianapolis. In the southern half of the state, which features a population much like that of Ohio next door, Clinton enjoys a double-digit lead. Obama enjoys an 11-point lead among Indiana men, while Clinton leads by seven points among women. Clinton easily won Ohio in the Democratic Party presidential primary on March 4.
According to the Democratic Indiana poll by Insider Advantage:
Whites: Clinton 50%, Obama 35%.
According to the Democratic Oregon poll by Survey USA:
Clinton Closes-In On Obama in Oregon Democratic Primary: In a Democratic Primary in Oregon today, 05/01/08, three weeks till votes are counted, Barack Obama edges Hillary Clinton 50% to 44%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KATU-TV in Portland. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA tracking poll released 3 weeks ago, Obama is down 2, Clinton is up 2. Obama had led by 10, now leads by 6 — small movement to be sure, and within the survey’s margin of sampling error, but movement away from Obama and to Clinton nonetheless. Among voters younger than Obama, Obama leads by 15. Among voters older than McCain, Clinton leads by 15. The Gender Gap has shrunk from 37 points to 22 points. Among females, Clinton had led by 7, now by 4. Among males, Obama had led by 30, now by 18. Clinton leads narrowly among voters focused on the Economy and on Health Care. Obama leads among voters focused on Iraq.